Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Agustín Coruco Díaz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.61) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.2% 19.1% 10.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
13.6%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlante FC 0 6.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlante FCLeones Negros UDG
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack93%53%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlante FC Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins67%33%50%25%33%29%
Draws33%0%17%50%33%43%
Loses0%67%33%25%33%29%

Form: Atlante FC: DLWLWW • Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Atlante FC Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
GF total105159312
GF avg3.31.72.52.31.01.7
GA total2688311
GA avg0.72.01.32.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlante FCLeones Negros UDG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%86%100%
1.567%33%57%43%
2.550%33%14%14%
3.533%0%14%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlante FCLeones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAtlante FCLeones Negros UDG
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAtlante FCLeones Negros UDG
Wins12
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-21-2
Biggest losses—3-02-31-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against1331

Model comparison

MetricAtlante FCLeones Negros UDG
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Atlante FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away5.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 1xBet
No2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlante FC = 2.06 (league 1.61), Leones Negros UDG = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlante FC 0 6.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 10.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1