First League — Russia
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 05:00 • Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.23) 0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 29.9% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 12.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSka-khabarovskChernomorets
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack25%50%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Chernomorets
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%40%0%20%
Draws60%20%40%0%60%30%
Loses20%60%40%60%40%50%

Form: Ska-khabarovsk: DWWDLLDLLD • Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWW

League goals

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Chernomorets
HATHAT
GF total5498513
GF avg1.00.80.91.61.01.3
GA total57128715
GA avg1.01.41.21.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSka-khabarovskChernomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%70%100%
1.510%20%30%40%
2.50%10%20%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSka-khabarovskChernomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricSka-khabarovskChernomorets
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSka-khabarovskChernomorets
Wins20
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-1—
Biggest losses1-23-10-23-2
Goals For1242
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSka-khabarovskChernomorets
Form22%78%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chernomorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw3.16 @ Pinnacle
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ska-khabarovsk = 1.14 (league 1.23), Chernomorets = 0.95 (league 1.05)

Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 12.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 30.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1