Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Municipal de Tarazona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.33) 1.07 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 33.4% 48.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.6%
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarazona 0 20.3% 21.6% 11.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.7% 11.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTarazonaMarbella
Played33
Form33%56%
Attack18%27%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

31%
FT probability

2.5+

22%
FT probability

3.5+

16%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tarazona Marbella
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%67%
Loses0%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: Tarazona: LWL • Marbella: WDD

League goals

Metric Tarazona Marbella
HATHAT
GF total112303
GF avg1.00.50.71.50.01.0
GA total033202
GA avg0.01.51.01.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTarazonaMarbella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.50%33%33%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTarazonaMarbella
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricTarazonaMarbella
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTarazonaMarbella
Wins11
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For1120
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricTarazonaMarbella
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.3%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marbella and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Marathonbet
Draw2.85 @ Pinnacle
Away2.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tarazona = 0.53 (league 1.33), Marbella = 1.07 (league 0.94)

Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarazona 0 20.3% 21.6% 11.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.7% 11.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 48.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1