Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 19:00 •
Bescot Stadium
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.75)
0.47 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.5% | 35.9% | 17.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.7%
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Liverpool W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa W | 0 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 47% | 27% |
| Defense | 60% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 60% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Aston Villa W: DLDWDDWL • Liverpool W: LLLLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 63% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 38% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Liverpool W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 37% | 63% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa W = 0.97 (league 1.75), Liverpool W = 0.47 (league 1.46)
| Liverpool W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa W | 0 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 17.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1