1. Division — Norway
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Nadderud Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.66) 2.04 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 20.8% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Raufoss
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stabaek 0 2.0% 4.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
1 3.7% 7.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1%
2 3.5% 7.2% 7.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.2% 4.5% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStabaekRaufoss
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack28%50%
Defense61%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stabaek Raufoss
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins18%9%14%33%20%27%
Draws36%45%41%33%40%36%
Loses45%45%45%33%40%36%

Form: Stabaek: DWLLWDWLDDLLLDLDLLLDDD • Raufoss: WDWLLDDWDDLWDDLLDWLLWL

League goals

Metric Stabaek Raufoss
HATHAT
GF total161127181836
GF avg1.51.01.21.51.81.6
GA total192039162137
GA avg1.71.81.81.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStabaekRaufoss
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%82%91%
1.523%55%45%55%
2.59%23%18%18%
3.55%9%9%5%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStabaekRaufoss
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score123404

Penalties

MetricStabaekRaufoss
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricStabaekRaufoss
Wins11
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-16-12-4
Biggest losses0-35-10-34-2
Goals For4264
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricStabaekRaufoss
Form33%67%
Att36%64%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raufoss

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw4.41 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.53 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stabaek = 1.89 (league 1.66), Raufoss = 2.04 (league 1.50)

Raufoss
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stabaek 0 2.0% 4.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
1 3.7% 7.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1%
2 3.5% 7.2% 7.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.2% 4.5% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1