Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 11:00 • Police Sacco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 0.97) 0.53 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.8% 52.2% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.0%
0 - 1
24.3%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 46.0% 24.3% 6.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.4% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoliceMara Sugar
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack30%50%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Mara Sugar
HATHAT
Played77149615
Wins29%57%43%22%33%27%
Draws43%29%36%33%67%47%
Loses29%14%21%44%0%27%

Form: Police: DWDWLWWWLWDLDD • Mara Sugar: DLWDDDWDLLWWDLD

League goals

Metric Police Mara Sugar
HATHAT
GF total29115712
GF avg0.31.30.80.61.20.8
GA total3696511
GA avg0.40.90.60.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoliceMara Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%43%53%53%
1.521%21%27%13%
2.57%0%0%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoliceMara Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets538527
Failed to score527617

Penalties

MetricPoliceMara Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPoliceMara Sugar
Wins32
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-21-01-3—
Goals For1322
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricPoliceMara Sugar
Form43%57%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total56.2%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Dafabet
Draw2.75 @ Dafabet
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.10 @ William Hill
No1.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.84 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police = 0.25 (league 0.97), Mara Sugar = 0.53 (league 0.91)

Mara Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 46.0% 24.3% 6.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.4% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.8% · Draw 52.2% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1