Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:15 • Stade Océane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.72) 1.50 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.9% 16.1% 17.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.1% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe HavreLorient
Played44
Form25%25%
Attack28%28%
Defense61%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.812 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Havre Lorient
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%75%50%100%75%

Form: Le Havre: LLWL • Lorient: LWLL

League goals

Metric Le Havre Lorient
HATHAT
GF total415505
GF avg2.00.51.32.50.01.3
GA total3477512
GA avg1.52.01.83.52.53.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe HavreLorient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%50%75%
1.525%50%25%50%
2.525%25%25%50%
3.50%0%25%50%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe HavreLorient
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricLe HavreLorient
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe HavreLorient
Wins11
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-0—
Biggest losses1-23-11-74-0
Goals For3140
Goals Against2374

Model comparison

MetricLe HavreLorient
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : Le Havre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Havre = 2.91 (league 1.72), Lorient = 1.50 (league 1.30)

Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.1% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 17.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1