Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:30 • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.54) 1.93 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 21.0% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.6%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Wolfsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.6% 4.9% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
Played33
Form78%56%
Attack36%32%
Defense86%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.77 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 15 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%100%33%
Draws0%50%33%100%0%67%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWW • VfL Wolfsburg: WDD

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
GF total358437
GF avg3.02.52.72.03.02.3
GA total033415
GA avg0.01.51.02.01.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%100%
1.5100%33%67%33%
2.567%33%67%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-3
Biggest losses
Goals For3333
Goals Against0331

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
Form58%42%
Att53%47%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total64.0%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ 1xBet
Draw4.82 @ 1xBet
Away5.37 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Unibet
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 1.95 (league 1.54), VfL Wolfsburg = 1.93 (league 1.55)

VfL Wolfsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.6% 4.9% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1