Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:45 • Estádio Eduardo Guinle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.02) 1.09 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.7% 33.7% 64.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
34.9%
0 - 0
31.9%
0 - 2
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
Serrano RJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Friburguense 0 31.9% 34.9% 19.0% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4%
1 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFriburguenseSerrano RJ
Played22
Form0%67%
Attack0%50%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Friburguense Serrano RJ
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses100%100%100%0%0%0%

Form: Friburguense: LL • Serrano RJ: DW

League goals

Metric Friburguense Serrano RJ
HATHAT
GF total000213
GF avg0.00.00.02.01.01.5
GA total112112
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFriburguenseSerrano RJ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%100%
1.50%0%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFriburguenseSerrano RJ
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricFriburguenseSerrano RJ
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFriburguenseSerrano RJ
Wins00
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses0-11-0——
Goals For0021
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricFriburguenseSerrano RJ
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h13%88%
Goals0%100%
Total31.5%69.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Serrano RJ and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ 10Bet
Away2.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Friburguense = 0.05 (league 1.02), Serrano RJ = 1.09 (league 0.91)

Serrano RJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Friburguense 0 31.9% 34.9% 19.0% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4%
1 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 64.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1