Serie B — Brazil
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.14) 0.94 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 34.1% 38.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Coritiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
America Mineiro 0 18.7% 17.5% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmerica MineiroCoritiba
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack63%75%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric America Mineiro Coritiba
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%15%27%54%46%50%
Draws31%15%23%38%23%31%
Loses31%69%50%8%31%19%

Form: America Mineiro: WLWWLLDLWLLWDWLLLLDLLDLWDD • Coritiba: WWDLWLLWWWDDWWWWLDDWDWDLWD

League goals

Metric America Mineiro Coritiba
HATHAT
GF total161026171128
GF avg1.20.81.01.30.81.1
GA total1320337916
GA avg1.01.51.30.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmerica MineiroCoritiba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%81%65%42%
1.531%35%35%8%
2.58%12%4%4%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmerica MineiroCoritiba
HATHAT
Clean sheets32510515
Failed to score3710459

Penalties

MetricAmerica MineiroCoritiba
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAmerica MineiroCoritiba
Wins24
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-02-52-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2352

Model comparison

MetricAmerica MineiroCoritiba
Form43%57%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Coritiba and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): America Mineiro = 0.74 (league 1.14), Coritiba = 0.94 (league 0.85)

Coritiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
America Mineiro 0 18.7% 17.5% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1