Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.37) 1.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 21.3% 73.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.9%
0 - 2
20.8%
0 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 14.9% 24.9% 20.8% 11.6% 4.8% 1.6%
1 3.5% 5.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasa PiaFamalicao
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack29%43%
Defense43%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casa Pia Famalicao
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%33%100%60%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses100%33%60%33%0%20%

Form: Casa Pia: LWLLW • Famalicao: WWDWL

League goals

Metric Casa Pia Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total044426
GF avg0.01.30.81.31.01.2
GA total448202
GA avg2.01.31.60.70.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasa PiaFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%20%
1.540%60%20%20%
2.50%20%20%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasa PiaFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricCasa PiaFamalicao
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCasa PiaFamalicao
Wins12
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-01-2
Goals For0231
Goals Against2420

Model comparison

MetricCasa PiaFamalicao
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total32.0%68.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Famalicao and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casa Pia = 0.23 (league 1.37), Famalicao = 1.67 (league 1.20)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 14.9% 24.9% 20.8% 11.6% 4.8% 1.6%
1 3.5% 5.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 73.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1