Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.16) 0.62 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 31.2% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Águila
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense 0 16.7% 10.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlatenseÁguila
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack56%11%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Platense Águila
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%20%18%67%0%36%
Draws83%40%64%0%40%18%
Loses0%40%18%33%60%45%

Form: Platense: LDLDDDDDWWD • Águila: WDWLDWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Platense Águila
HATHAT
GF total10515707
GF avg1.71.01.41.20.00.6
GA total75127411
GA avg1.21.01.11.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlatenseÁguila
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%45%64%
1.536%18%18%27%
2.527%9%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlatenseÁguila
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score033156

Penalties

MetricPlatenseÁguila
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPlatenseÁguila
Wins22
Draws51
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-1
Biggest losses1-00-32-0
Goals For3320
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricPlatenseÁguila
Form75%25%
Att83%17%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Platense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Platense = 1.17 (league 1.16), Águila = 0.62 (league 1.16)

Águila
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense 0 16.7% 10.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1