Premier League — Wales
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:30 • The Ogi Bridge Meadow Stadium
Match Finished

Haverfordwest County AFC

1 - 3

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.62) 0.69 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 36.8% 28.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.6%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Haverfordwest County AFC 0 22.6% 15.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHaverfordwest County AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack17%26%
Defense52%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Haverfordwest County AFC GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%33%33%33%
Draws67%0%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%67%50%33%33%33%

Form: Haverfordwest County AFC: LDWDLL • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLD

League goals

Metric Haverfordwest County AFC GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total314527
GF avg1.00.30.71.70.71.2
GA total48126410
GA avg1.32.72.02.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHaverfordwest County AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%83%83%
1.517%50%17%50%
2.50%33%17%33%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHaverfordwest County AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricHaverfordwest County AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHaverfordwest County AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-20-1
Biggest losses0-15-01-33-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricHaverfordwest County AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Haverfordwest County AFC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ 188Bet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Haverfordwest County AFC vs GAP Connah S Quay FC

Expected goals (λ): Haverfordwest County AFC = 0.80 (league 1.62), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 0.69 (league 1.33)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Haverfordwest County AFC 0 22.6% 15.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1