Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:30 • Stebonheath Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.63) 3.70 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.1% 4.5% 77.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.3%
0 - 4
14.2%
0 - 2
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 1.8% 6.7% 12.4% 15.3% 14.2% 10.5%
1 0.6% 2.1% 3.8% 4.7% 4.4% 3.2%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metricllanelli AFCColwyn Bay
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack9%43%
Defense22%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric llanelli AFC Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins0%0%0%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%75%33%57%
Loses100%100%100%0%33%14%

Form: llanelli AFC: LLLLLLL • Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWW

League goals

Metric llanelli AFC Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
GF total2137512
GF avg0.50.30.41.81.71.7
GA total121426437
GA avg3.04.73.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Linellanelli AFCColwyn Bay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%100%86%86%
1.514%86%43%14%
2.50%57%29%0%
3.50%57%14%0%
4.50%43%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metricllanelli AFCColwyn Bay
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score325011

Penalties

Metricllanelli AFCColwyn Bay
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

Metricllanelli AFCColwyn Bay
Wins00
Draws02
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-4
Biggest losses0-56-0—1-0
Goals For2134
Goals Against5621

Model comparison

Metricllanelli AFCColwyn Bay
Form0%100%
Att17%83%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total15.7%84.3%

Advice: Winner : Colwyn Bay

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.84 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): llanelli AFC = 0.31 (league 1.63), Colwyn Bay = 3.70 (league 1.38)

Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 1.8% 6.7% 12.4% 15.3% 14.2% 10.5%
1 0.6% 2.1% 3.8% 4.7% 4.4% 3.2%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.1% · Draw 4.5% · Away win 77.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1