League One — Scotland
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • New Central Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.43) 2.77 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 12.9% 73.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.6%
0 - 3
10.8%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 3.0% 8.4% 11.6% 10.8% 7.5% 4.1%
1 2.2% 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 5.4% 3.0%
2 0.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKelty HeartsHamilton Academical
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack40%70%
Defense10%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kelty Hearts Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins0%33%20%33%33%33%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses100%67%80%33%33%33%

Form: Kelty Hearts: LWLLL • Hamilton Academical: WWLLDD

League goals

Metric Kelty Hearts Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
GF total044369
GF avg0.01.30.81.02.01.5
GA total459246
GA avg2.01.71.80.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKelty HeartsHamilton Academical
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%67%67%
1.520%60%50%33%
2.50%20%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKelty HeartsHamilton Academical
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricKelty HeartsHamilton Academical
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKelty HeartsHamilton Academical
Wins12
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-32-11-21-0
Goals For0224
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricKelty HeartsHamilton Academical
Form38%63%
Att36%64%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals35%65%
Total39.8%60.4%

Advice: Winner : Hamilton Academical

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away1.67 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Kelty Hearts = 0.73 (league 1.43), Hamilton Academical = 2.77 (league 1.44)

Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 3.0% 8.4% 11.6% 10.8% 7.5% 4.1%
1 2.2% 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 5.4% 3.0%
2 0.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 73.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1