League One — Scotland
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Ochilview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.43) 0.17 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.9% 23.8% 3.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.3%
2 - 0
21.3%
0 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Peterhead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 18.8% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.3% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirPeterhead
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack50%60%
Defense80%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Peterhead
HATHAT
Played426336
Wins25%100%50%67%0%33%
Draws50%0%33%33%0%17%
Loses25%0%17%0%100%50%

Form: Stenhousemuir: LWWDDW • Peterhead: WLLWLD

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Peterhead
HATHAT
GF total3369110
GF avg0.81.51.03.00.31.7
GA total3144812
GA avg0.80.50.71.32.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirPeterhead
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%67%100%
1.517%17%50%67%
2.50%0%33%17%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirPeterhead
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirPeterhead
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirPeterhead
Wins21
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-1—
Biggest losses1-2——4-0
Goals For1241
Goals Against2124

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirPeterhead
Form73%27%
Att45%55%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Stenhousemuir or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 1.51 (league 1.43), Peterhead = 0.17 (league 1.44)

Peterhead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 18.8% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.3% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 3.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1