League One — England
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Lamex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.42) 0.19 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.4% 39.2% 7.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
1 - 0
30.4%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 33.3% 6.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.4% 5.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenageExeter City
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack40%27%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Exeter City
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins100%50%71%50%25%38%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%50%75%63%

Form: Stevenage: WWWWLWD • Exeter City: LWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Stevenage Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total4610819
GF avg1.31.51.42.00.31.1
GA total055549
GA avg0.01.30.71.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenageExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%50%75%
1.543%14%25%38%
2.514%0%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenageExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricStevenageExeter City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricStevenageExeter City
Wins41
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-10-1
Biggest losses—1-00-22-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against0222

Model comparison

MetricStevenageExeter City
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stevenage or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away5.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 0.91 (league 1.42), Exeter City = 0.19 (league 1.13)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 33.3% 6.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.4% 5.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 39.2% · Away win 7.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1