Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Sixways Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.57) 0.69 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 39.4% 32.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.4%
0 - 1
18.3%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Bedford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worcester City 0 26.4% 18.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorcester CityReal Bedford
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack44%22%
Defense67%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worcester City Real Bedford
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%50%0%29%
Draws67%50%57%0%67%29%
Loses33%25%29%50%33%43%

Form: Worcester City: LDLDWDD • Real Bedford: WDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Worcester City Real Bedford
HATHAT
GF total369426
GF avg1.01.51.31.00.70.9
GA total448538
GA avg1.31.01.11.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorcester CityReal Bedford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%43%57%
1.543%29%43%43%
2.514%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorcester CityReal Bedford
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricWorcester CityReal Bedford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWorcester CityReal Bedford
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-0—
Biggest losses0-11-00-23-2
Goals For2322
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricWorcester CityReal Bedford
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Worcester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worcester City = 0.64 (league 1.57), Real Bedford = 0.69 (league 1.31)

Real Bedford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worcester City 0 26.4% 18.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1