Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 •
Earlsmead Stadium
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.71)
1.77 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3% | 22.6% | 40.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Metropolitan Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harrow Borough | 0 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 62% |
| Defense | 0% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 75% | 29% | 45% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 25% | 71% | 55% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
Form: Harrow Borough: WLWWLWLLLLW • Metropolitan Police: LLWWDWDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 19 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 91% | 82% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 45% | 64% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 45% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Metropolitan Police
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Harrow Borough = 1.64 (league 1.71), Metropolitan Police = 1.77 (league 1.52)
| Metropolitan Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harrow Borough | 0 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 40.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1