Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.46) 1.45 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 26.0% 43.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.0%
Dinamo Samarqand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 7.3% 10.6% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchiDinamo Samarqand
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack73%82%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Dinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
Played101121101020
Wins70%45%57%40%60%50%
Draws10%45%29%40%40%40%
Loses20%9%14%20%0%10%

Form: Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWL • Dinamo Samarqand: DWWDDWWWDWWLWLDDWDWD

League goals

Metric Neftchi Dinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
GF total171734121830
GF avg1.71.51.61.21.81.5
GA total9918131023
GA avg0.90.80.91.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchiDinamo Samarqand
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%48%80%70%
1.552%29%45%40%
2.519%5%20%5%
3.510%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchiDinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511336
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricNeftchiDinamo Samarqand
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNeftchiDinamo Samarqand
Wins43
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-22-4
Biggest losses0-42-10-3—
Goals For4434
Goals Against4232

Model comparison

MetricNeftchiDinamo Samarqand
Form57%43%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Neftchi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.17 (league 1.46), Dinamo Samarqand = 1.45 (league 1.12)

Dinamo Samarqand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 7.3% 10.6% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 43.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1