Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:30 • Kras Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.96 (league 1.71) 0.54 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.2% 5.1% 1.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.5%
4 - 0
11.4%
5 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Volendam 0 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.7% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC VolendamExcelsior
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack38%19%
Defense44%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Volendam Excelsior
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%33%0%20%
Draws100%67%80%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%67%100%80%

Form: FC Volendam: DDDDL • Excelsior: LLLWL

League goals

Metric FC Volendam Excelsior
HATHAT
GF total336213
GF avg1.51.01.20.70.50.6
GA total3693912
GA avg1.52.01.81.04.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC VolendamExcelsior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%60%80%
1.540%60%0%60%
2.50%20%0%40%
3.50%0%0%40%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC VolendamExcelsior
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFC VolendamExcelsior
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFC VolendamExcelsior
Wins01
Draws40
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses3-01-25-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricFC VolendamExcelsior
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h50%50%
Goals39%61%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Winner : FC Volendam

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away3.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ 188Bet
No3.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Volendam = 3.96 (league 1.71), Excelsior = 0.54 (league 1.39)

Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Volendam 0 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.7% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.2% · Draw 5.1% · Away win 1.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1