Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio La Molineta
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.27)
4.04 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 13.6% | 34.9% |
best score tips
3 - 4
4.4%
3 - 3
4.3%
2 - 4
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Basconia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfaro | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 33% |
| Attack | 42% | 17% |
| Defense | 50% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 2.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Alfaro: DL • Basconia: DD
League goals
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alfaro | Basconia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-3 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alfaro | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Basconia and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alfaro = 3.14 (league 1.27), Basconia = 4.04 (league 0.99)
| Basconia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfaro | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 34.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1