Ligat Ha'al — Israel
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:45 • Yud-Alef Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.56) 2.70 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.8% 16.6% 61.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 3
7.8%
0 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ashdod 0 1.9% 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 4.1% 2.2%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.7% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9%
2 1.5% 4.1% 5.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
Played33
Form33%78%
Attack15%27%
Defense69%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.37 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 2.75 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ashdod Hapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%100%0%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses100%50%67%0%0%0%

Form: Ashdod: WLL • Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDW

League goals

Metric Ashdod Hapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
GF total134527
GF avg1.01.51.32.52.02.3
GA total268325
GA avg2.03.02.71.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.533%67%100%67%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
Wins11
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-2—
Biggest losses1-25-1——
Goals For1232
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricAshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
Form30%70%
Att36%64%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hapoel Tel Aviv and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.85 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.19 @ Pinnacle
Away1.72 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ashdod = 1.28 (league 1.56), Hapoel Tel Aviv = 2.70 (league 1.48)

Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ashdod 0 1.9% 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 4.1% 2.2%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.7% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9%
2 1.5% 4.1% 5.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 61.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1