Serie B — Italy
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Danilo Martelli – Pata Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.44) 1.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.7% 20.3% 70.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 2
17.7%
0 - 3
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 10.6% 19.4% 17.7% 10.8% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.4% 8.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
2 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaModena
Played33
Form33%78%
Attack18%55%
Defense73%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Modena
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: Mantova: LWL • Modena: WDW

League goals

Metric Mantova Modena
HATHAT
GF total202426
GF avg2.00.00.72.02.02.0
GA total123101
GA avg1.01.01.00.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%100%33%
1.533%0%67%0%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricMantovaModena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMantovaModena
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-00-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For2032
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricMantovaModena
Form30%70%
Att25%75%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total26.0%74.0%

Advice: Winner : Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 0.42 (league 1.44), Modena = 1.83 (league 1.09)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 10.6% 19.4% 17.7% 10.8% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.4% 8.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
2 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 70.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1