Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:30 • Subaru Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.16) 1.58 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 17.1% 19.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
New England Revolution
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union 0 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.1% 5.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew England Revolution
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack29%29%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Philadelphia Union New England Revolution
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins67%47%57%20%33%27%
Draws27%13%20%20%33%27%
Loses7%40%23%60%33%47%

Form: Philadelphia Union: WWWLWLDLWWWDWWDWDWWLLWWDWDLWWL • New England Revolution: DLLLWLWWWWDDDDWLLDLLDLLLWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Philadelphia Union New England Revolution
HATHAT
GF total341549162339
GF avg2.31.01.61.11.51.3
GA total151833232144
GA avg1.01.21.11.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhiladelphia UnionNew England Revolution
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%63%73%70%
1.550%23%40%47%
2.527%10%17%23%
3.510%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew England Revolution
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511369
Failed to score167538

Penalties

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew England Revolution
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew England Revolution
Wins34
Draws14
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-37-01-35-3
Goals For4433
Goals Against3735

Model comparison

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew England Revolution
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h85%15%
Goals91%9%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Philadelphia Union or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw4.63 @ Pinnacle
Away5.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Philadelphia Union = 2.77 (league 1.16), New England Revolution = 1.58 (league 0.95)

New England Revolution
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union 0 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.1% 5.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1