Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.37) 3.14 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 14.5% 60.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 4
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 1.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 4.1% 2.5%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.2% 7.6% 5.9% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.3% 5.5% 4.3% 2.7%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.1% 1.3%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraesSC Braga
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%83%
Defense33%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes SC Braga
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%50%40%
Draws50%0%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%67%40%33%0%20%

Form: Guimaraes: LWLDW • SC Braga: WWDDL

League goals

Metric Guimaraes SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total4265510
GF avg2.00.71.21.72.52.0
GA total358325
GA avg1.51.71.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraesSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%60%
1.540%60%80%40%
2.520%20%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraesSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricGuimaraesSC Braga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricGuimaraesSC Braga
Wins12
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-00-3
Biggest losses3-00-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraesSC Braga
Form47%53%
Att38%63%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total40.7%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Braga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes = 1.46 (league 1.37), SC Braga = 3.14 (league 1.20)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 1.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 4.1% 2.5%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.2% 7.6% 5.9% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.3% 5.5% 4.3% 2.7%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.1% 1.3%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 60.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1