Liga 1 — Moldova
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 13:00 • Stadionul Ungheni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 2.02) 1.05 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.3% 12.9% 9.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Zimbru II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCM Ungheni 0 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFCM UngheniZimbru II
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack48%40%
Defense56%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FCM Ungheni Zimbru II
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%75%33%57%
Draws0%25%14%25%0%14%
Loses33%50%43%0%67%29%

Form: FCM Ungheni: LWLWLWD • Zimbru II: WLWLDWW

League goals

Metric FCM Ungheni Zimbru II
HATHAT
GF total881610313
GF avg2.72.02.32.51.01.9
GA total59146713
GA avg1.72.32.01.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFCM UngheniZimbru II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%86%100%
1.586%71%71%57%
2.543%29%29%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFCM UngheniZimbru II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFCM UngheniZimbru II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFCM UngheniZimbru II
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-2—4-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricFCM UngheniZimbru II
Form41%59%
Att55%45%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total51.4%48.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Zimbru II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FCM Ungheni = 3.08 (league 2.02), Zimbru II = 1.05 (league 1.62)

Zimbru II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCM Ungheni 0 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1