Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Urukundo
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.46)
2.49 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 15.0% | 72.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.0%
0 - 3
10.7%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Olympic Star | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0 | 4.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 83% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLL • Olympic Star: DWWW
League goals
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Le Messager Ngozi | Olympic Star |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.6% | 61.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Olympic Star and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.69 (league 1.46), Olympic Star = 2.49 (league 1.21)
| Olympic Star | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0 | 4.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.2% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 72.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1