Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:00 • Ortalyq stadıon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.52) 1.07 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 31.5% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Astana
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Tobol Kostanay 0 15.0% 16.0% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack57%100%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.621 | 4.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Tobol Kostanay FC Astana
HATHAT
Played101121121022
Wins70%55%62%67%60%64%
Draws20%27%24%25%20%23%
Loses10%18%14%8%20%14%

Form: FK Tobol Kostanay: WDDWWLWWWWDWDWWDLWWWL • FC Astana: DWWWDWWDLWWWWWDWLWWLWD

League goals

Metric FK Tobol Kostanay FC Astana
HATHAT
GF total211637401555
GF avg2.11.51.83.31.52.5
GA total9101917623
GA avg0.90.90.91.40.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%62%95%59%
1.562%24%73%27%
2.519%5%36%18%
3.55%0%23%0%
4.55%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
HATHAT
Clean sheets448369
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricFK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%8 | 88.89%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%1 | 11.11%
Total39

Streaks

MetricFK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
Wins45
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-37-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-11-33-2
Goals For5372
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricFK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
Form47%53%
Att28%72%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : FK Tobol Kostanay or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.01 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Tobol Kostanay = 0.83 (league 1.52), FC Astana = 1.07 (league 1.26)

FC Astana
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Tobol Kostanay 0 15.0% 16.0% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1