1st Division
— Albania
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.30)
0.05 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 66.0% | 3.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
64.7%
1 - 0
24.9%
2 - 0
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Skenderbeu Korce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogradeci | 0 | 64.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 56% | 78% |
| Attack | 17% | 100% |
| Defense | 100% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
36%
FT probability
2.5+
26%
FT probability
3.5+
18%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Pogradeci: DDW • Skenderbeu Korce: WDW
League goals
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pogradeci | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 22.0% | 78.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Skenderbeu Korce and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 0.38 (league 1.30), Skenderbeu Korce = 0.05 (league 0.98)
| Skenderbeu Korce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogradeci | 0 | 64.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 66.0% · Away win 3.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1