Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:45 • McDiarmid Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.33) 0.96 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 25.2% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 7.9% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.5% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%75%
Defense83%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Johnstone Dunfermline
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins67%100%80%50%33%40%
Draws33%0%20%50%33%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%33%20%

Form: ST Johnstone: WWWDW • Dunfermline: DWLDW

League goals

Metric ST Johnstone Dunfermline
HATHAT
GF total9312459
GF avg3.01.52.42.01.71.8
GA total202224
GA avg0.70.00.41.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST JohnstoneDunfermline
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%60%40%
1.560%0%60%40%
2.540%0%20%0%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.520%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Wins31
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-22-00-5
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For5225
Goals Against1022

Model comparison

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Form62%38%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : ST Johnstone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 188Bet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away6.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Johnstone = 1.58 (league 1.33), Dunfermline = 0.96 (league 1.24)

Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 7.9% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.5% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1