Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 12:00 •
Kasarani Annex Stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.01)
3.56 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5% | 8.5% | 72.0% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.7%
0 - 4
8.6%
0 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Mara Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sofapaka | 0 | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 42% |
| Attack | 27% | 18% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Sofapaka: DLLW • Mara Sugar: DLWD
League goals
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sofapaka | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.6% | 53.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mara Sugar and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 0.79 (league 1.01), Mara Sugar = 3.56 (league 0.84)
| Mara Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sofapaka | 0 | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.5% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 72.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1