Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.47) 0.93 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 28.4% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Strogino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit Penza 0 10.9% 10.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.0% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZenit PenzaStrogino
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack27%33%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zenit Penza Strogino
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins31%14%22%21%21%21%
Draws23%7%15%0%29%14%
Loses46%79%63%79%50%64%

Form: Zenit Penza: DWLWWDWLLLDWLLLLLDLLLLWLLLL • Strogino: DWLLDLDLWLWWLLWLLLLDLLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Zenit Penza Strogino
HATHAT
GF total121022151530
GF avg0.90.70.81.11.11.1
GA total142640422971
GA avg1.11.91.53.02.12.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZenit PenzaStrogino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%54%89%
1.522%37%29%68%
2.54%15%21%50%
3.50%4%4%21%
4.50%4%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZenit PenzaStrogino
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score66127613

Penalties

MetricZenit PenzaStrogino
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricZenit PenzaStrogino
Wins22
Draws11
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-10-65-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against2565

Model comparison

MetricZenit PenzaStrogino
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Zenit Penza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Marathonbet
Away3.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zenit Penza = 1.29 (league 1.47), Strogino = 0.93 (league 1.31)

Strogino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit Penza 0 10.9% 10.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.0% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1