Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:30 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.31) 1.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 30.8% 50.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.6%
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 16.5% 19.6% 11.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthStoke City
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack55%27%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Stoke City
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins33%20%27%60%33%45%
Draws17%60%36%20%33%27%
Loses50%20%36%20%33%27%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDL • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWL

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total64106612
GF avg1.00.80.91.21.01.1
GA total8412358
GA avg1.30.81.10.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%64%64%
1.59%45%27%9%
2.50%0%18%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthStoke City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthStoke City
Wins13
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-12-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthStoke City
Form45%55%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h33%67%
Goals29%71%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stoke City and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Dafabet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.80 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 0.61 (league 1.31), Stoke City = 1.19 (league 1.09)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 16.5% 19.6% 11.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1