Virsliga — Latvia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadions Daugava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.67) 0.67 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 26.1% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
FS Jelgava
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Liepaja 0 11.4% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack90%80%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Liepaja FS Jelgava
HATHAT
Played171633171633
Wins53%50%52%41%6%24%
Draws29%6%18%29%38%33%
Loses18%44%30%29%56%42%

Form: FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWWWDLW • FS Jelgava: DLDLWWLDWWDLWDLLWDLLLLWLLDDLWLDDD

League goals

Metric FK Liepaja FS Jelgava
HATHAT
GF total312455231134
GF avg1.81.51.71.40.71.0
GA total202949182341
GA avg1.21.81.51.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%73%58%85%
1.558%42%30%30%
2.518%21%9%9%
3.512%9%6%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
HATHAT
Clean sheets729325
Failed to score34741014

Penalties

MetricFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Wins42
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-44-11-4
Biggest losses2-54-12-33-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Form63%38%
Att53%47%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total66.8%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : FK Liepaja or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Superbet
Away4.20 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.13 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Liepaja = 1.50 (league 1.67), FS Jelgava = 0.67 (league 1.25)

FS Jelgava
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Liepaja 0 11.4% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1