Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.36) 2.28 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 20.0% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.2% 7.3% 8.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraPortimonense
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack20%40%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Portimonense
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%25%67%43%
Draws67%75%71%50%0%29%
Loses33%25%29%25%33%29%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDD • Portimonense: WLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total3255611
GF avg1.00.50.71.32.01.6
GA total4595712
GA avg1.31.31.31.32.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%100%100%
1.529%57%43%43%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraPortimonense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraPortimonense
Wins01
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-24-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraPortimonense
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals11%89%
Total29.7%70.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Portimonense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 1.69 (league 1.36), Portimonense = 2.28 (league 1.14)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.2% 7.3% 8.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1