Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio di Domagnano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.32) 1.55 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.5% 25.5% 57.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 10.7% 16.5% 12.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertasLa Fiorita
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack31%88%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertas La Fiorita
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%33%50%
Draws33%67%50%33%67%50%
Loses33%33%33%0%0%0%

Form: Libertas: DLLWDD • La Fiorita: DWWDDW

League goals

Metric Libertas La Fiorita
HATHAT
GF total2467916
GF avg0.71.31.02.33.02.7
GA total279246
GA avg0.72.31.50.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertasLa Fiorita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%100%67%
1.517%17%83%33%
2.50%17%50%0%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%17%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertasLa Fiorita
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricLibertasLa Fiorita
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricLibertasLa Fiorita
Wins12
Draws12
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-00-5
Biggest losses0-15-2——
Goals For1235
Goals Against1512

Model comparison

MetricLibertasLa Fiorita
Form31%69%
Att26%74%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h15%85%
Goals18%82%
Total25.8%74.2%

Advice: Winner : La Fiorita

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home18.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw8.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.67 @ Marathonbet
No1.41 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertas = 0.69 (league 1.32), La Fiorita = 1.55 (league 1.36)

La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 10.7% 16.5% 12.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 57.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1