Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Umuganda
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.12)
1.11 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 33.3% | 57.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.0%
0 - 0
25.3%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 25.3% | 28.0% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 22% | 50% |
| Attack | 17% | 67% |
| Defense | 50% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 100% | 75% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Etincelles: DLD • Gorilla: WDDD
League goals
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Etincelles | Gorilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Etincelles | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 24.2% | 75.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gorilla and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Etincelles = 0.27 (league 1.12), Gorilla = 1.11 (league 0.90)
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 25.3% | 28.0% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.9% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 57.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1