Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.51) 0.24 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 40.5% 9.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.4%
1 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 33.4% 7.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaSunderland
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack75%33%
Defense33%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Sunderland
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%75%25%50%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%0%50%25%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWW • Sunderland: WLWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Chelsea Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total51116819
GF avg1.32.82.02.00.31.1
GA total459246
GA avg1.01.31.10.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%63%50%
1.563%38%38%25%
2.525%13%13%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score101033

Penalties

MetricChelseaSunderland
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChelseaSunderland
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-53-00-1
Biggest losses1-32-1—2-0
Goals For2531
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricChelseaSunderland
Form47%53%
Att69%31%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ 1xBet
Draw4.90 @ Dafabet
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.19 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.86 (league 1.51), Sunderland = 0.24 (league 1.27)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 33.4% 7.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1