Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Stangmore Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.40) 0.45 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.4% 20.2% 8.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 9.9% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 8.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.6% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDungannon SwiftsGlenavon FC
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack75%17%
Defense50%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dungannon Swifts Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%33%42%17%0%8%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%58%83%100%92%

Form: Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLWWWWL • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Dungannon Swifts Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total8513224
GF avg1.30.81.10.30.30.3
GA total111122111223
GA avg1.81.81.81.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDungannon SwiftsGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%33%92%
1.542%58%0%75%
2.58%33%0%25%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDungannon SwiftsGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score235448

Penalties

MetricDungannon SwiftsGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricDungannon SwiftsGlenavon FC
Wins40
Draws00
Losses511

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-21-0—
Biggest losses1-44-00-33-1
Goals For3211
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricDungannon SwiftsGlenavon FC
Form80%20%
Att82%18%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total74.2%26.0%

Advice: Double chance : Dungannon Swifts or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dungannon Swifts = 1.86 (league 1.40), Glenavon FC = 0.45 (league 1.19)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 9.9% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 8.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.6% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 8.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1