Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:30 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.71) 1.08 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.4% 17.8% 15.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.9%
1 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardGroningen
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack21%26%
Defense68%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard Groningen
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%60%50%56%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses0%80%44%40%50%44%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWL • Groningen: LWLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard Groningen
HATHAT
GF total76138614
GF avg1.81.21.41.61.51.6
GA total49134913
GA avg1.01.81.40.82.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardGroningen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%78%67%
1.544%56%56%33%
2.522%11%11%22%
3.50%0%11%22%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardGroningen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardGroningen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardGroningen
Wins23
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-34-01-2
Biggest losses2-00-24-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardGroningen
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.87 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 2.43 (league 1.71), Groningen = 1.08 (league 1.39)

Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 15.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1