Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:30 • Campo do Vao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.47) 1.12 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.7% 32.5% 51.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.7%
0 - 0
20.1%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coruxo 0 20.1% 22.7% 12.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.6% 10.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoruxoUD Ourense
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack43%21%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coruxo UD Ourense
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%25%0%14%
Draws33%25%29%25%67%43%
Loses67%25%43%50%33%43%

Form: Coruxo: DLWDLLW • UD Ourense: LDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Coruxo UD Ourense
HATHAT
GF total257224
GF avg0.71.31.00.50.70.6
GA total549336
GA avg1.71.01.30.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoruxoUD Ourense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%57%86%
1.543%43%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoruxoUD Ourense
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricCoruxoUD Ourense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCoruxoUD Ourense
Wins10
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-21-0—
Biggest losses0-22-00-11-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricCoruxoUD Ourense
Form58%42%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or UD Ourense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Coruxo = 0.48 (league 1.47), UD Ourense = 1.12 (league 1.06)

UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coruxo 0 20.1% 22.7% 12.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.6% 10.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% Ā· Draw 32.5% Ā· Away win 51.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1