Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.26)
1.90 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9% | 22.3% | 48.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| San Marcos de Arica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Santa Cruz | 0 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 15% | 46% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 15% | 22% | 50% | 43% | 46% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 43% | 46% | 44% | 21% | 43% | 32% |
Form: Deportes Santa Cruz: LLDWLLWLLDDDLWWDDDLLWWLLDLD • San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLWDDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 74% | 75% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 48% | 39% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 15% | 14% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or San Marcos de Arica
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportes Santa Cruz = 1.39 (league 1.26), San Marcos de Arica = 1.90 (league 0.89)
| San Marcos de Arica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Santa Cruz | 0 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 48.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1