Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.69) 2.96 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 17.0% 48.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
6.1%
1 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cracovia Krakow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 0.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2%
1 1.3% 4.0% 5.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.5%
2 1.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.7%
3 1.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8%
4 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.6% 1.0%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinCracovia Krakow
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack44%56%
Defense44%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Cracovia Krakow
HATHAT
Played57126511
Wins60%14%33%67%40%55%
Draws0%29%17%33%20%27%
Loses40%57%50%0%40%18%

Form: Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWD • Cracovia Krakow: WWDLWDWWDLW

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Cracovia Krakow
HATHAT
GF total11718101020
GF avg2.21.01.51.72.01.8
GA total913224812
GA avg1.81.91.80.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinCracovia Krakow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%91%55%
1.550%42%64%27%
2.517%25%18%9%
3.58%17%9%9%
4.50%8%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinCracovia Krakow
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinCracovia Krakow
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinCracovia Krakow
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-35-1—5-2
Goals For4224
Goals Against4525

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinCracovia Krakow
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals68%32%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cracovia Krakow

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Unibet
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 2.08 (league 1.69), Cracovia Krakow = 2.96 (league 1.22)

Cracovia Krakow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 0.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2%
1 1.3% 4.0% 5.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.5%
2 1.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.7%
3 1.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8%
4 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.6% 1.0%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 48.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1