Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:30 • Parque Artigas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.16) 0.42 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 36.3% 15.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
24.0%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Plaza Colonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 25.0% 10.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudPlaza Colonia
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack10%30%
Defense70%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventud Plaza Colonia
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins33%17%25%0%20%8%
Draws17%33%25%14%20%17%
Loses50%50%50%86%60%75%

Form: Juventud: LLWWWLLLDDLD • Plaza Colonia: LDLLLLLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Juventud Plaza Colonia
HATHAT
GF total426527
GF avg0.70.30.50.70.40.6
GA total641014822
GA avg1.00.70.82.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudPlaza Colonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%58%50%83%
1.58%25%8%42%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudPlaza Colonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235022
Failed to score347336

Penalties

MetricJuventudPlaza Colonia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricJuventudPlaza Colonia
Wins31
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—0-1
Biggest losses0-22-12-46-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against2246

Model comparison

MetricJuventudPlaza Colonia
Form43%57%
Att25%75%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Plaza Colonia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventud = 0.96 (league 1.16), Plaza Colonia = 0.42 (league 0.94)

Plaza Colonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 25.0% 10.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1