Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Leburton
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.44 (league 1.54) 1.27 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 4.2% 2.6%
best score tips
5 - 1
6.1%
4 - 1
5.6%
5 - 0
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior Virton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tubize 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.4% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTubizeExcelsior Virton
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack65%52%
Defense83%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 312 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tubize Excelsior Virton
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%80%78%60%25%44%
Draws25%20%22%20%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%20%25%22%

Form: Tubize: DWWWWWWDW • Excelsior Virton: WLWDDDLWW

League goals

Metric Tubize Excelsior Virton
HATHAT
GF total11132415924
GF avg2.82.62.73.02.32.7
GA total34791221
GA avg0.80.80.81.83.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTubizeExcelsior Virton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%100%100%
1.567%22%89%89%
2.556%0%44%11%
3.533%0%22%11%
4.511%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTubizeExcelsior Virton
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricTubizeExcelsior Virton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricTubizeExcelsior Virton
Wins61
Draws13
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-55-22-3
Biggest losses——1-26-2
Goals For4553
Goals Against2226

Model comparison

MetricTubizeExcelsior Virton
Form62%38%
Att56%44%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals80%20%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tubize and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Unibet
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tubize = 5.44 (league 1.54), Excelsior Virton = 1.27 (league 1.45)

Excelsior Virton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tubize 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.4% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1