Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Leônidas da Silva
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.02)
0.56 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3% | 17.3% | 8.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bonsucesso | 0 | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 20% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Bonsucesso: DWDWWWW • Nova Cidade: LDDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 43% | 29% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 29% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.3% |
Advice: Winner : Bonsucesso
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bonsucesso = 2.16 (league 1.02), Nova Cidade = 0.56 (league 0.91)
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bonsucesso | 0 | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 8.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1