 
                  
                                
                    Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 •
                                          Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
                                      
                Expected Goals
          0.05          (league 1.79)
			
          0.38          (league 1.03)
        
      1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away | 
|---|---|---|
| 3.4% | 66.4% | 30.2% | 
best score tips
0 - 0
                65.1%
              0 - 1
                24.7%
              0 - 2
                4.7%
              Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Gloriense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 65.1% | 24.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 
| 1 | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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                      Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | 
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 | 
| Form | 100% | 87% | 
| Attack | 75% | 70% | 
| Defense | 95% | 100% | 
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 14 | 2.8 | 
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
            Home all + Away all
          Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
            Home @home + Away @away
          Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.30
            Home all + Away all
          Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
            Home @home + Away @away
          1.5+
87%
FT probability
          2.5+
61%
FT probability
          3.5+
44%
FT probability
          BTTS
54%
FT probability
          Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
          League fixtures
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 67% | 86% | 
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 
Form: Desportiva Aracaju: WDWWWWW • Atlético Gloriense: WWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 
| GF avg | 5.0 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 29% | 86% | 0% | 
| 1.5 | 57% | 0% | 71% | 0% | 
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 
Penalties
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | 
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 
| Total | 0 | 0 | 
Streaks
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | 
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-2 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — | 
| Goals For | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
Model comparison
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | 
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% | 
| Att | 52% | 48% | 
| Def | 0% | 100% | 
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% | 
| H2h | 0% | 0% | 
| Goals | 0% | 0% | 
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% | 
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Gloriense
💸
            Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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			  League standings
  Loading standings…
			  
          Expected goals (λ): Desportiva Aracaju = 0.05 (league 1.79), Atlético Gloriense = 0.38 (league 1.03)
| Atlético Gloriense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 65.1% | 24.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 
| 1 | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 66.4% · Away win 30.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1

 
                