Serie B — Brazil
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.14) 1.62 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 23.9% 41.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 4.7% 7.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.7% 10.9% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubAmerica Mineiro
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack64%57%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club America Mineiro
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins25%35%30%41%19%30%
Draws31%12%21%35%13%24%
Loses44%53%48%24%69%45%

Form: Athletic Club: LLLLWLWLLLLWWLWWWDDDLDLWDWLLLDWDL • America Mineiro: WLWWLLDLWLLWDWLLLLDLLDLWDDWLWWDLD

League goals

Metric Athletic Club America Mineiro
HATHAT
GF total182038211435
GF avg1.11.21.21.20.91.1
GA total242347162440
GA avg1.51.41.40.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubAmerica Mineiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%67%82%
1.533%33%30%30%
2.59%15%9%9%
3.56%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubAmerica Mineiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets235426
Failed to score56113811

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubAmerica Mineiro
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubAmerica Mineiro
Wins32
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-10-3
Biggest losses0-44-01-23-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubAmerica Mineiro
Form38%62%
Att53%47%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or America Mineiro

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 1.44 (league 1.14), America Mineiro = 1.62 (league 0.83)

America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 4.7% 7.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.7% 10.9% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 41.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1