Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio José Gomes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.39) 1.41 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 23.6% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaRio Ave
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack27%45%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela Rio Ave
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%0%13%
Draws25%75%50%50%75%63%
Loses50%25%38%25%25%25%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWL • Rio Ave: DDDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Estrela Rio Ave
HATHAT
GF total5166511
GF avg1.30.30.81.51.31.4
GA total5386713
GA avg1.30.81.01.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaRio Ave
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%63%75%75%
1.525%38%38%50%
2.513%0%25%38%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaRio Ave
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricEstrelaRio Ave
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEstrelaRio Ave
Wins10
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-0—
Biggest losses0-22-00-33-1
Goals For3133
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaRio Ave
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rio Ave

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Superbet
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 1.69 (league 1.39), Rio Ave = 1.41 (league 1.20)

Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 31.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1